Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
28.51% ( -0.35) | 24.63% ( -0.09) | 46.86% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.32% ( 0.17) | 46.67% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.06% ( 0.16) | 68.94% ( -0.16) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( -0.17) | 30.07% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% ( -0.2) | 66.2% ( 0.2) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% ( 0.26) | 19.99% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.82% ( 0.41) | 52.18% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.51% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |