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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg

Marseille
4 - 0
Strasbourg

Gerson (32', 89'), Under (73'), Bakambu (90+2')
Caleta-Car (34'), Gueye (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sissoko (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg

 Marseille's levels of creative ingenuity and attacking incisiveness decrease dramatically when Payet is not on the pitch, and Strasbourg would do well to capitalise on this opportunity at a ground where the hosts have not enjoyed a strong period of success. That being said, Stephan's side have not dominated many games in recent memory and have developed an affinity for draws on the road, so we can envisage this battle ending all square as Marseille clinch a top-three spot, while Strasbourg will nervously learn of results elsewhere. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
49.05% (1.552 1.55) 25.2% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 25.75% (-1.496 -1.5)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-1.074 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.808 -0.81)50.9% (0.805 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (-0.713 -0.71)72.78% (0.71000000000001 0.71)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.336 0.34)20.77% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (0.529 0.53)53.41% (-0.532 -0.53)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (-1.642 -1.64)34.44% (1.638 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (-1.787 -1.79)71.15% (1.784 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 49.05%
    Strasbourg 25.75%
    Draw 25.19%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.47 0.47)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.458 0.46)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.285 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 49.05%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.75%

How you voted: Marseille vs Strasbourg

Marseille
62.5%
Draw
26.4%
Strasbourg
11.1%
72
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 4pm
Strasbourg
0-2
Marseille

Stephan (38'), Ajorque (49'), Nyamsi (71')
Dieng (62'), Caleta-Car (82')
Guendouzi (68')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Benedetto (86')
Rongier (55'), Lirola (81'), Milik (90+2'), Gueye (90+3')
Mitrovic (73')
Kone (53'), Diallo (85')
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
Strasbourg
0-1
Marseille
Sanson (72')
Amavi (52'), Kamara (58'), Khaoui (87'), Mandanda (89')
May 2, 2020 7pm
Strasbourg
P-P
Marseille
Jan 29, 2020 8.05pm
Marseille
3-1
Strasbourg
Sarr (32'), Payet (43' pen.), Kamara (95')
Lopez (57')
Corgnet (59')
Mitrovic (18'), Simakan (92')
N'Dour (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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