Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

Apr 24, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 0
Strasbourg

Celik (87')
Gudmundsson (36'), Botman (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Perrin (40'), Guilbert (70'), Djiku (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48

Strasbourg

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Rennes	38	42	66
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63
7	Lens	38	14	62

Lille's starting lineup should have more of a familiar feel about it this weekend, with two well-rested strikers in David and Yilmaz desperately needing to find their shooting boots sooner rather than later. Strasbourg have certainly been the draw specialists away from home in recent weeks, and while one point will not do them many favours in their podium push, an altered Lille side should manage to avoid a third straight loss with a hard-fought stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Strasbourg
42.88%	27.9%	29.21%

Both teams to score 46.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.8%

59.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.38%

79.62%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66%

27.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21%

62.79%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.88%

36.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.1%

72.89%

Score Analysis

Lille 42.88%

Strasbourg 29.21%

Draw 27.91%

Lille	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 12.8% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.88%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.91%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.94% Total : 29.21%