Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.