MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:53:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lens logo

Troyes
1 - 3
Lens

Biancone (14')
Kabore (9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Danso (42'), Kalimuendo (45'), Clauss (71')
Medina (19'), Frankowski (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lens

Last Six:
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-2 Lens

 With the hosts now feeling comfortable and the visitors fighting to keep their European hopes alive, we lean towards an away win at the weekend. Lens find themselves in an impressive run of form, and we see them continuing that with a victory being much-needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawLens
35.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 27.98% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.82% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)78.83% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.012 0.01)67.32% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.63% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.87% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 35.71%
    Lens 36.3%
    Draw 27.97%
TroyesDrawLens
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.3%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lens

Troyes
18.5%
Draw
11.1%
Lens
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Lens
4-0
Troyes
Kalimuendo (14'), Said (30'), Clauss (35'), Frankowski (60')
Ganago (69')

Batlles (15'), Rodrigues (74')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Lens
1-0
Troyes
Jean (65')
Haidara (48'), Michelin (90')

Kouame (19'), El Hajjam (45')
Kouame (36')
Aug 24, 2019 2pm
Troyes
2-0
Lens
Kouyate (45'), Pintor (83')
Souare (16'), Giraudon (18'), Tardieu (61'), Pintor (93')

Sotoca (46')
Aug 13, 2019 8.05pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Kouyate (10')
Salmier (34'), Mambo (74'), Giraudon (77'), Kouyate (89')
Sene (75'), Banza (84')
Perez (31'), Teka (39')
May 24, 2019 5pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Pele (44' pen.)
Poaty (26'), Martins Pereira (35'), Giraudon (103'), Darbion (117')
Martins Pereira (67')
Gomis (3'), Banza (108')
Leca (40'), Gillet (40'), Ambrose (71'), Centonze (117')
Leca (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!