Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Reims had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.