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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Montpellier

Lens
2 - 0
Montpellier

Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Montpellier HSC

Buoyed by a derby victory, Lens will carry momentum into Wednesday's contest, and we think the motivation of a top-five finish will inspire them to victory over a Montpellier side who are experiencing a poor run of form after losing two of their last three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
64.97%19.83%15.2%
Both teams to score 52.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18%41.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77%64.23%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.89%12.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.32%37.68%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.79%40.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16%76.84%
Score Analysis
    Lens 64.97%
    Montpellier HSC 15.2%
    Draw 19.83%
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.85%
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 6.96%
4-0 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 3.17%
5-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 64.97%
1-1 @ 9.37%
0-0 @ 4.87%
2-2 @ 4.5%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.44%
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.37%
1-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 15.2%

How you voted: Lens vs Montpellier

Lens
82.8%
Draw
6.9%
Montpellier HSC
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-0
Lens
Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')
Jan 30, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-2
Lens
Wahi (78')
Mavididi (15'), Mendes (16'), Laborde (18'), Hilton (48')
Doucoure (7'), Kakuta (67')
Sotoca (51'), Banza (55'), Mauricio (83'), Haidara (90')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Lens
2-3
Montpellier
Omlin (36' og.), Kakuta (50' pen.)
Cahuzac (75')
Mavididi (16'), Mendes (26'), Laborde (69')
Mendes (38')
May 10, 2015 1pm
Lens
0-1
Montpellier

Landre (55')
Landre (65')
Mounier (91')
Martin (58'), Tiene (86')
Dec 13, 2014 7pm
Montpellier
3-3
Lens
Sanson (1'), Barrios (16'), Mounier (63')
Saihi (50'), Mounier (64')
Valdivia (17'), Guillaume (34'), Touzghar (80')
Sylla (32'), Bourigeaud (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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