Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
38.16% | 25% | 36.84% |
Both teams to score 57.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.32% | 45.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32% | 68% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.34% | 23.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.24% | 57.76% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% | 24.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% | 58.76% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-1 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |