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Montpellier
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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Montpellier

Lille
2 - 1
Montpellier

Yazici (45+1'), David (57')
Fonte (25'), Andre (33'), Xeka (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laborde (45+3')
Sambia (24'), Ferri (25'), Laborde (34'), Savanier (56'), Chotard (59'), Mollet (70')
Sambia (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMontpellier HSC
48.5%26.14%25.36%
Both teams to score 48.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12%54.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83%76.17%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34%22.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71%56.29%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06%36.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27%73.73%
Score Analysis
    Lille 48.49%
    Montpellier HSC 25.36%
    Draw 26.14%
LilleDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.42%
2-0 @ 9.22%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 48.49%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 8.37%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.33%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 25.36%

How you voted: Lille vs Montpellier

Lille
62.7%
Draw
25.5%
Montpellier HSC
11.8%
51
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 33
Lille
1-1
Montpellier
Araujo (85')
Andre (30'), Celik (43'), Mandava (81')
Delort (21')
Mollet (14')
Dec 23, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 17
Montpellier
2-3
Lille
Laborde (57'), Delort (70')
Der Zakarian (21'), Sambia (50'), Ristic (66'), Ferri (87')
Der Zakarian (90')
Weah (23'), Ikone (68' pen.), Yilmaz (86')
Andre (17'), Xeka (77')
Apr 4, 2020 4.30pm
Dec 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
Ikone (40' pen.), Sanches (84')
Andre (25'), Sanches (85'), Ikone (85')
Delort (74')
Savanier (37')
Feb 17, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
0-0
Montpellier
Xeka (37'), Kone (44'), Fonte (78')
Hilton (29'), Le Tallec (44'), Congre (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2Marseille5410156913
3MonacoMonaco5410102813
4Lens52305239
5NantesNantes52217438
6Reims52217708
7Nice521214687
8Rennes621310917
9Lille52128717
10StrasbourgStrasbourg5131111016
11Le HavreLe Havre5203710-36
12Auxerre6204812-46
13Brest6204813-56
14Toulouse512246-25
15Lyon5113611-54
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier5113515-104
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne5104115-143
18Angers502339-62


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