Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Messi (6', 20'), di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Reims	38	-1	46
13	Montpellier HSC	38	-12	43
14	Angers	38	-11	41

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Letting a two-goal lead slip against a newly-promoted side in Troyes was another bitter blow for PSG, but facing an out-of-sorts Montpellier side is just what is needed to end their inconsistent patch on the road. While PSG's defence in particular does not travel well, a Montpellier side without Savanier pulling the strings or Wahi finishing the job should not pose too many threats to the champions here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-3 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
15.14% ( -0)	17.92% ( -0.01)	66.94% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.22% (

32.77% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.53% (

0.01)

54.46% (

-0.01)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.44% (

-0)

34.56% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.72% (

-0)

71.27% (

-0)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.93% (

-0)

9.07% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.16% (

30.83% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 15.14%

Paris Saint-Germain 66.94%

Draw 17.92%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.77% 3-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.49% Total : 15.14%	1-1 @ 7.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.92%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.61% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.21% 0-5 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.96% Total : 66.94%