Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

Apr 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 1
Marseille

Neymar (12'), Mbappe (45+4' pen.)
Verratti (17'), Mendes (37'), Gueye (46'), Neymar (55'), Mbappe (90+1'), Donnarumma (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Caleta-Car (31')
Gerson (21')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Marseille

Marseille's remarkable winning run is something to behold, and they have refused to let the European fatigue affect them thus far; giving their impassioned fanbase genuine belief that a famous Parc des Princes victory could be on the cards. While Les Olympiens continue to produce the goods on the road, PSG have been largely unplayable at home, are well-rested and are witnessing their front three combine just as they had dreamt of, so we can only back Pochettino's side to take one more step towards the crown and end Marseille's streak of victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Marseille
62.13%	21.46%	16.41%

Both teams to score 49.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.28%

46.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.01%

68.98%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52%

14.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.55%

42.45%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.39%

41.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.9%

78.09%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 62.12%

Marseille 16.41%

Draw 21.45%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 6.36% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.79% 5-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.52% Total : 62.12%	1-1 @ 10.2% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.45%	0-1 @ 5.28% 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.41%