We said: Nice 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain
The absence of proven goal-getter Mbappe is huge for PSG, and attempting to breach a resilient Nice rearguard away from home without their top scorer will be a tall order for Pochettino's side.
While we do expect PSG to find a way through, Galtier's side know what it takes to get a result against the capital outfit and will be buoyed by reaching the final of the Coupe de France, so we are expecting the two top-three sides to play out a hotly-contested draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Nice had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Nice win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.