Olympique Lyonnais have not been shut out of a competitive fixture since losing 2-0 to Monaco in the quarter-finals of the Coupe de France last year, but they have only scored multiple goals in one of their previous six games played in all competitions.
Nice are coming off an impressive showing in midweek, and we expect to see plenty of determination from them in this encounter, although fatigue might be an issue for them at some point, and with both teams fighting hard to earn a place in Europe next season, we do not expect to see either side to concede many opportunities.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nice had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
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