Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lyon |
30.08% | 25.51% | 44.42% |
Both teams to score 54.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.41% | 49.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.39% | 71.62% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% | 30.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% | 66.65% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.72% | 22.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.26% | 55.74% |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |