Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Oct 24, 2021 at 12pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
3 - 2
Lyon

Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lyon
30.08%	25.51%	44.42%

Both teams to score 54.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.41%

49.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39%

71.62%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56%

30.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35%

66.65%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72%

22.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26%

55.74%

Score Analysis

Nice 30.08%

Lyon 44.41%

Draw 25.5%

Nice	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.08%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.41%