Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
