Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Feb 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
1 - 0
Rennes

Mbappe (90+2')
Mbappe (41'), Verratti (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alemdar (90')

Kylian Mbappe equals Lionel Messi goalscoring record in Rennes win

Paris Saint-Germain's Kylian Mbappe equals a goalscoring record set by Lionel Messi with his last-gasp winner against Rennes in Friday's Ligue 1 clash.

Feb 12, 17:01

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Rennes

Rennes' victory earlier in the campaign was impressive and will certainly give PSG and Pochettino pause for thought, but they are on an impressive unbeaten run for a reason. Messi appears to be finding his feet in France and Mbappe shows no signs of slowing down. The hosts often concede and we suspect that may be the case again on this occasion, but we are backing them to score more and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Rennes
57.23%	22.44%	20.33%

Both teams to score 54.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12%

44.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77%

67.24%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.56%

15.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.72%

44.28%

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93%

36.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15%

72.85%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 57.23%

Rennes 20.33%

Draw 22.44%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.72% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 6.05% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.51% Total : 57.23%	1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.68% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.33%