Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 6, 2022 at 4pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
2 - 0
Brest

Laborde (20'), Terrier (90')
Martin (1'), Santamaria (31'), Terrier (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Del Castillo (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With Rennes welcoming three key cogs back to the team at a vital moment and Brest losing their top goalscorer and joint-top assister, this is the ideal opportunity for Genesio's side to pick up a morale-boosting win. Les Pirates' leaky defence on the road has cost them all season long, and a refreshed Rennes side ought to give their supporters something to cheer with a professional performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 8.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (11.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rennes in this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Brest
75.96%	15.93%	8.11%

Both teams to score 41.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.75%

43.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.35%

65.65%

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.35%

9.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.79%

32.21%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.23%

53.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.87%

87.13%

Score Analysis

Rennes 75.95%

Brest 8.11%

Draw 15.93%

Rennes	Draw	Brest
2-0 @ 14.18% 1-0 @ 12.13% 3-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 6.86% 4-0 @ 6.46% 4-1 @ 4.01% 5-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.99% Total : 75.95%	1-1 @ 7.53% 0-0 @ 5.19% 2-2 @ 2.73% Other @ 0.48% Total : 15.93%	0-1 @ 3.22% 1-2 @ 2.34% 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.56% Total : 8.11%