We said: PAOK 1-3 Marseille (Marseille win 5-2 on aggregate)
PAOK should come out firing to overturn the deficit, but that could ultimately be to their detriment as the visitors have the quality to punish them on the break.
While we fancy the Greek outfit to grab a goal, we see Sampaoli's side triumphing again and progressing with a dominant aggregate win, even without the Argentinian on the touchline.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.