UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
0 - 1
Marseille

(Marseille win 3-1 on aggregate)

Douglas (66'), Schwab (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Payet (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PAOK and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

Last Six:

Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Olympiacos	25	34	65
2	PAOK	25	24	50
3	AEK Athens	25	13	43

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

We said: PAOK 1-3 Marseille (Marseille win 5-2 on aggregate)

PAOK should come out firing to overturn the deficit, but that could ultimately be to their detriment as the visitors have the quality to punish them on the break. While we fancy the Greek outfit to grab a goal, we see Sampaoli's side triumphing again and progressing with a dominant aggregate win, even without the Argentinian on the touchline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
PAOK	Draw	Marseille
39.73%	24.71%	35.56%

Both teams to score 58.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59%

44.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.22%

66.78%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7%

22.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.24%

55.76%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52%

24.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.07%

58.93%

Score Analysis

PAOK 39.73%

Marseille 35.56%

Draw 24.7%

PAOK	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 8.65% 1-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.73%	1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 8.11% 0-1 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.56%