UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Last 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 10, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
1 - 0
Gent

(PAOK win 3-1 on aggregate)

Kurtic (58')
Lucescu (34'), Zivkovic (45'), Vieirinha (61'), Kurtic (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Okumu (2'), Torunarigha (83'), Castro-Montes (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PAOK and Gent, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

Last Six:

Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Olympiacos	25	34	65
2	PAOK	25	24	50
3	AEK Athens	25	13	43

PAOK will be keen to take an advantage from the first leg on home soil, though they will be aware of the threat Gent are likely to pose in the final third. A cagey contest is set to be played out in Greece and with little to separate these two teams, a score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Gent had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PAOK in this match.

Result
PAOK	Draw	Gent
49.13%	25.08%	25.79%

Both teams to score 52.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61%

50.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.67%

72.32%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47%

20.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97%

53.03%

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.87%

34.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.18%

70.82%

Score Analysis

PAOK 49.13%

Gent 25.79%

Draw 25.07%

PAOK	Draw	Gent
1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.13%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.79%