Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 38

May 10, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
1 - 2
Gent

Hairemans (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ngadeu-Ngadjui (36'), Tissoudali (90+3')
Bezus (85'), Godeau (87'), Owusu (90')

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Gent.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
Mechelen	Draw	Gent
30.54% ( 1.28)	24.94% ( 0.47)	44.53% ( -1.74)

Both teams to score 56.18% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.07% (

-1.4)

46.93% (

1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.82% (

-1.33)

69.18% (

1.33)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

0.17)

28.78% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38% (

0.21)

64.63% (

-0.2)

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89% (

-1.33)

21.12% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05% (

-2.12)

53.95% (

2.12)

Score Analysis

Mechelen 30.54%

Gent 44.53%

Draw 24.94%

Mechelen	Draw	Gent
1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.54%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.59% Total : 44.53%