Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.