Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.