Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 5, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
0 - 1
Brest

Medina (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Troyes 1-3 Lens
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Lens vs. Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Strasbourg	37	21	63
7	Lens	37	14	61
8	Lyon	37	14	58

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Monaco 4-2 Brest
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Brest vs. Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lille	37	0	54
11	Brest	37	-6	48
12	Reims	37	0	46

Whether Lens have the wherewithal to sustain a European charge for the entirety of the season remains to be seen, but Haise's side are well-stocked and resilient if nothing else in front of their own fans. Brest's inconsistency - and especially their poor form on the road - continues to hamper their top-half aspirations, and we can only picture Sang et Or emerging victorious on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Brest had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Brest
48.44%	25.65%	25.9%

Both teams to score 50.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.38%

52.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.73%

74.26%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26%

21.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.09%

54.9%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.76%

35.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28%

71.99%

Score Analysis

Lens 48.43%

Brest 25.9%

Draw 25.65%

Lens	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.43%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.66% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.05% Total : 25.9%

How you voted: Lens vs Brest

Lens

67.7%

Draw

16.1%

Brest

16.1%

Head to Head

Nov 21, 2021 12pm

Brest

4-0

Lens

Mounie (3'), Chardonnet (13'), Faivre (33'), Le Douaron (69')
Duverne (58')

Medina (36'), Doucoure (76')
Kalimuendo (74')

Apr 18, 2021 2pm

Brest

1-1

Lens

Cahuzac (37' og.), Kakuta (72' pen.)
Bade (35'), Haidara (48'), Fortes (54'), Banza (59'), Clauss (63'), Lucas (87')
Haise (65'), Fortes (81'), Lucas (89'), Banza (89')

Dec 23, 2020 6pm

Lens

2-1

Brest

Kalimuendo (11'), Sotoca (34' pen.)

Charbonnier (90+4' pen.)
Pierre-Gabriel (13'), Duverne (32')

Apr 27, 2019 2pm

Brest

2-0

Lens

Court (35'), Autret (45')
Autret (52')

Apr 25, 2019