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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Bordeaux

Brest
2 - 4
Bordeaux

Mounie (16'), Belaili (34')
Chardonnet (30')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Mangas (14'), Mara (32', 73'), Dilrosun (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Bordeaux, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Bordeaux

Brest may have little left to play for but, realistically, that is also the case for Bordeaux. They will likely give it their all either way but Les Girondins simply have not been good enough this season and we do not expect them to end the campaign on a high so are backing a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawBordeaux
59.42% (-2.541 -2.54) 20.33% (0.769 0.77) 20.25% (1.766 1.77)
Both teams to score 61.36% (0.407 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.79% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)35.2% (0.899 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.78% (-1.014 -1.01)57.21% (1.007 1.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.37% (-0.943 -0.94)11.63% (0.936 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.35% (-2.06 -2.06)36.64% (2.053 2.05)
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (1.183 1.18)30.57% (-1.19 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (1.381 1.38)66.79% (-1.39 -1.39)
Score Analysis
    Brest 59.42%
    Bordeaux 20.25%
    Draw 20.33%
BrestDrawBordeaux
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.422 -0.42)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.76% (-0.292 -0.29)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.193 -0.19)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.215 -0.22)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 9.06% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.197 0.2)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.16 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.379 0.38)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.318 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.263 0.26)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.213 0.21)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: Brest vs Bordeaux

Brest
72.1%
Draw
18.6%
Bordeaux
9.3%
43
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Bordeaux
1-2
Brest
Rode Gregersen (43')
Pembele (75'), Mexer (80'), Niang (86')
Le Douaron (60', 66')
Chardonnet (50')
Feb 7, 2021 12pm
Brest
2-1
Bordeaux
Mounie (80'), Faivre (85')
Honorat (90+3')
Ui-jo (56')
Ben Arfa (6'), Koscielny (48'), Basic (51')
Dec 6, 2020 2pm
Feb 5, 2020 6pm
Brest
1-1
Bordeaux
Benito (80' og.)
Baal (72'), Cardona (79')
Castelletto (68')
Ui-jo (10')
Dec 18, 2019 8.05pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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