Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35

May 1, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
2 - 0
Clermont

Brassier (60'), Mounie (62')
Belaili (30'), Said (90+1')
Del Castillo (22')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ogier (28'), N'Simba (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48
12	Reims	38	-1	46

Clermont

Last Six:

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Lorient	38	-28	36
17	Clermont	38	-31	36
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32

Having recently shown their character to move outside of the drop zone, we fancy Clermont to push Brest all the way on Sunday afternoon. That said, we cannot ignore the improvements made by the home side, leading us to predict a narrow home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Clermont
44.52%	26.45%	29.02%

Both teams to score 50.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.07%

53.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.62%

75.38%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89%

24.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.6%

58.4%

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.54%

33.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.91%

70.09%

Score Analysis

Brest 44.52%

Clermont 29.02%

Draw 26.45%

Brest	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.52%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.02%