We said: Bordeaux 1-3 Brest
Brest's goalscoring exploits under Der Zakarian have never been called into question, but Les Pirates now seem to have developed the mental fortitude to help them rise away from the relegation crop.
Bordeaux have no problem making the net ripple either, but Petkovic is yet to find the ideal defensive formula to stop the goals leaking in at the other end, and a ruthless Brest will aim to take advantage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
