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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Jan 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Marseille

Lens
0 - 2
Marseille


Danso (20'), Medina (32'), Sotoca (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Payet (34' pen.), Bakambu (77')
Peres (71'), Lirola (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Lens 2-2 Marseille

Marseille have tended to win every other Ligue 1 match recently; a pattern which would set them up for a win here. However, they have not beaten Lens in any of their last three meetings - in fact, losing two of them - and will come up against a side high on confidence. All things considered, we are backing an entertaining draw on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
LensDrawMarseille
29.66%26.3%44.04%
Both teams to score 51.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.97%53.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.38%74.62%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48%32.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95%69.05%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05%23.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83%58.17%
Score Analysis
    Lens 29.66%
    Marseille 44.04%
    Draw 26.3%
LensDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.75%
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 4.91%
3-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.66%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.79%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 11.13%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-2 @ 7.95%
1-3 @ 4.26%
0-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 44.04%

How you voted: Lens vs Marseille

Lens
26.7%
Draw
28.3%
Marseille
45.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
2-3
Lens
Payet (33', 45+2' pen.)
Gueye (6'), Guendouzi (7')
Sotoca (9' pen.), Frankowski (27'), Said (71')
Said (90+2')
Feb 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 23
Lens
2-2
Marseille
Sotoca (46'), Medina (61')
Fofana (43'), Doucoure (48'), Medina (63'), Jean (90+2')
Thauvin (37'), Milik (45+2')
Lirola (60'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Marseille
0-1
Lens

Gueye (55'), Balerdi (62'), Perrin (69'), Khaoui (81'), Cuisance (90+1')
Banza (59')
Haidara (19'), Banza (25'), Medina (55')
Mar 22, 2015 8pm
Lens
0-4
Marseille

Valdivia (11'), Gbamin (35'), Lemoigne (66')
Batshuayi (46', 93'), Romao (67'), Ayew (72')
Dja Djedje (22'), Imbula (90')
Nov 2, 2014 8pm
Marseille
2-1
Lens
N'Koulou (11'), Thauvin (60')
Romao (22'), Mendy (70'), Imbula (80')
Romao (75')
Guillaume (31')
Valdivia (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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