MX23RW : Monday, November 25 20:04:17| >> :60:907:907:
Marseille
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lokomotiv Moscow

Marseille
1 - 0
Lokomotiv

Milik (35')
Gueye (18'), Rongier (63')
Rongier (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamano (24'), Maradishvili (26'), Smolov (56'), Tiknizyan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Lokomotiv Moscow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Marseille 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow

Facing an injury-hit Lokomotiv side lacking any real midfield presence represents the perfect opportunity for Marseille and Sampaoli to get back on track - even if a top-two finish is now out of the question. Gidsol's side are low on numbers, low on confidence and will simply be waiting for the final whistle to blow in Group E, so we can only back Les Olympiens to claim a confidence-boosting win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.24%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
MarseilleDrawLokomotiv Moscow
50.46%29.48%20.06%
Both teams to score 35.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.95%69.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.38%86.62%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82%28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.13%63.87%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.46%50.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.97%85.03%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 50.46%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 20.06%
    Draw 29.47%
MarseilleDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 18.04%
2-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 7.8%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 3.29%
4-0 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.12%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 50.46%
0-0 @ 14.24%
1-1 @ 12.3%
2-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 29.47%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.06%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lokomotiv

Marseille
81.0%
Draw
15.5%
Lokomotiv Moscow
3.6%
84
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2021 5.45pm
Group Stage
Lokomotiv
1-1
Marseille
Anjorin (89')
Beka Beka (22'), Tiknizyan (34')
Tiknizyan (58')
Under (59' pen.)
Kamara (37'), Rongier (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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