Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.