Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Marseille |
34.42% | 28.16% | 37.42% |
Both teams to score 47.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.09% | 58.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.6% | 79.4% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% | 32.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% | 68.71% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% | 30.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.5% | 66.5% |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.77% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |