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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lorient logo

Marseille
4 - 1
Lorient

Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLorient
58.62%23.23%18.15%
Both teams to score 47.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81%51.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96%73.03%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82%17.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57%47.43%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86%42.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44%78.55%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 58.61%
    Lorient 18.15%
    Draw 23.22%
MarseilleDrawLorient
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 5.7%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 58.61%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25%
1-2 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 18.15%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lorient

Marseille
73.2%
Draw
19.7%
Lorient
7.0%
71
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 8
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
Aug 26, 2016 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2016 4pm
Lorient
1-1
Marseille
Waris (35')
Gassama (82')
Isla (46')
Silva (67'), Cabella (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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