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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lorient logo

Marseille
3 - 2
Lorient

Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moffi (19', 70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLorient
52.79%24.51%22.7%
Both teams to score 50.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22%50.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33%72.67%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81%19.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13%50.87%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92%37.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.13%73.87%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.79%
    Lorient 22.7%
    Draw 24.5%
MarseilleDrawLorient
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.06%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 22.7%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lorient

Marseille
85.1%
Draw
6.4%
Lorient
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 8
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
Aug 26, 2016 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2016 4pm
Lorient
1-1
Marseille
Waris (35')
Gassama (82')
Isla (46')
Silva (67'), Cabella (68')
Oct 18, 2015 1pm
Marseille
1-1
Lorient
Batshuayi (21' pen.)
Rolando (89')
Moukandjo (37')
Bellugou (20'), Abdou Paye (43'), Ndong (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG22175059203956
2Marseille22144450262446
3MonacoMonaco22124644291540
4Nice21107441261537
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse227692325-227
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes224992539-1421
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2253142050-3018
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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