Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

Apr 11, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
4 - 1
Lorient

Kakuta (16' pen.), Jean (39'), Kalimuendo (55'), Banza (88' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Moffi (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Lorient
45.22%	27.28%	27.5%

Both teams to score 47.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.26%

57.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.52%

78.48%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54%

25.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71%

60.29%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.3%

36.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52%

73.48%

Score Analysis

Lens 45.22%

Lorient 27.5%

Draw 27.28%

Lens	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 12.78% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.22%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.5%