Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Mar 14, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
2 - 2
Metz

Clauss (13'), Cahuzac (36')
Gradit (8'), Haidara (19'), Medina (37'), Fofana (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Goncalves (27' pen.), Delaine (57')
Goncalves (37'), Boye (50'), Sarr (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Metz
42.16%	27.49%	30.35%

Both teams to score 48.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.72%

57.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88%

78.12%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18%

26.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88%

62.12%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78%

34.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08%

70.92%

Score Analysis

Lens 42.16%

Metz 30.35%

Draw 27.48%

Lens	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.16%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.35%