Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 19, 2020 at 4pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
2 - 0
Lens

Nguette (30'), Boulaya (90+3')
Boulaya (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sotoca (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Lens
26.25%	25.94%	47.8%

Both teams to score 50.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.49%

53.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.97%

75.02%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.57%

35.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.81%

72.19%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6%

22.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1%

55.9%

Score Analysis

Metz 26.25%

Lens 47.8%

Draw 25.94%

Metz	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.25%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.8%