Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Metz had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
