Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.