Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 41.11%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Metz had a probability of 28.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.