Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 20, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
4 - 1
Angers

Souquet (18'), Delort (43', 60'), Mollet (86')
Congre (16'), Delort (33'), Souquet (41'), Cozza (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bahoken (25')
Ebosse (11'), Bahoken (56'), Pavlovic (62'), S (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier and Angers, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Angers had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Angers
46.57%	26.55%	26.89%

Both teams to score 48.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.6%

55.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.4%

76.6%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23%

23.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08%

57.92%

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.07%

35.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.29%

72.71%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 46.57%

Angers 26.89%

Draw 26.55%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Angers
1-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.57%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.89%