Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Montpellier HSC in this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
42.18% | 24.78% | 33.04% |
Both teams to score 57.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.7% | 45.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.36% | 67.64% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% | 21.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.44% | 54.56% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% | 26.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% | 61.53% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |