Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.