Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Metz had a probability of 7.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 3-0 (11.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
77.44% | 14.99% | 7.56% |
Both teams to score 42.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.11% | 40.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.72% | 63.28% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.29% | 8.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.02% | 29.98% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.45% | 53.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13% | 87% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
2-0 @ 13.89% 1-0 @ 11.38% 3-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 4.31% 5-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 2.1% 6-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.52% Total : 77.42% | 1-1 @ 7.11% 0-0 @ 4.67% 2-2 @ 2.71% Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.99% | 0-1 @ 2.91% 1-2 @ 2.22% 0-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.52% Total : 7.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
7 | NantesNantes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
8 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Lyon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 3 |
18 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |