Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.