Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
37.96% | 27.02% | 35.01% |
Both teams to score 50.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.48% | 54.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.12% | 75.87% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% | 27.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.54% | 63.46% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.37% | 29.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.33% | 65.67% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
7 | NantesNantes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
8 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Lyon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 3 |
18 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |