We said: Napoli 2-0 Monza
One way or another, Napoli should take care of business against a limited Monza team who struggle to score and have not beaten top-tier opponents for several months. Befitting their coach's never-say-die approach, Antonio Conte's men have scored the most Serie A goals in the last 30 minutes of play this season - seven of their nine so far - and will ultimately get the job done. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 72.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 3-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Monza |
72.79% ( 1.67) | 17.33% ( -0.51) | 9.88% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.55% ( -2.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.21% ( -1.07) | 43.78% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( -1.06) | 66.17% ( 1.06) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.41% ( 0.14) | 10.59% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.64% ( 0.31) | 34.36% ( -0.31) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.82% ( -2.94) | 50.18% ( 2.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.22% ( -2.12) | 84.78% ( 2.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 72.77%
Monza 9.89%
Draw 17.33%
| Napoli | Draw | Monza |
| 2-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.77) 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.61)3-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.62)2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.26)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.84% Total : 72.77% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.37)Other @ 0.6% Total : 17.33% | 0-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.12% Total : 9.89% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Monza
Napoli
92.8%Draw
4.5%Monza
2.7%111
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
0-0
Monza
May 14, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
