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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Lecce logo

Napoli
0 - 0
Lecce

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Lecce

 While you are inclined to back Napoli to record maximum points on their last game of a wretched year, this side have stunk for much of this season, winning just one in 10 in Serie A. Without a clean sheet since February and winless on home turf since early March, Lecce securing a point in Naples is a strong possibility on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
58.43% (0.169 0.17) 22.2% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 19.36% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.23% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (0.097999999999999 0.1)45.19% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (0.091000000000001 0.09)67.54% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85% (0.086999999999989 0.09)15.15% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.26% (0.168 0.17)43.74% (-0.172 -0.17)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (-0.064 -0.06)37.27% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.061 -0.06)74.05% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 58.42%
    Lecce 19.36%
    Draw 22.2%
NapoliDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 58.42%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 19.36%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
57.5%
Draw
30.1%
Lecce
12.3%
73
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Lecce
0-4
Napoli

Gallo (36'), Ramadani (57'), D'Aversa (67'), Gonzalez (81')
Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 29
Lecce
1-2
Napoli
Di Francesco (52')
Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Napoli
1-1
Lecce
Elmas (27')
Colombo (31')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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