Lecce

1 - 2

Napoli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.51%) and 0-3 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.