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Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
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Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Lecce logo

Empoli
1 - 0
Lecce

Caputo (62' pen.)
Bandinelli (19'), Fazzini (71'), Marin (90+6')
Tonelli (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Blin (22'), Tuia (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Empoli
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-0 Lecce

Neither side is in top goalscoring form, but Empoli's decent-to-good record at the Castellani — they had gone five unbeaten until recent defeats by Napoli and Udinese — and Lecce's ongoing four-game run without scoring means the Azzurri should edge this one by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawLecce
40.26% (-1.664 -1.66) 26.88% (0.155 0.16) 32.86% (1.51 1.51)
Both teams to score 50.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (-0.21 -0.21)54.27% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (-0.175 -0.18)75.66% (0.176 0.18)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (-0.979 -0.98)26.45% (0.981 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (-1.323 -1.32)61.62% (1.323 1.32)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.92700000000001 0.93)30.9% (-0.926 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (1.073 1.07)67.19% (-1.072 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 40.25%
    Lecce 32.86%
    Draw 26.87%
EmpoliDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.354 -0.35)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.318 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.324 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.162 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.179 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.86%

How you voted: Empoli vs Lecce

Empoli
70.8%
Draw
18.9%
Lecce
10.4%
106
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Lecce
1-1
Empoli
Espeto (40')
Banda (34')
Parisi (23')
Marin (27'), Stojanovic (57')
May 10, 2021 1pm
Empoli
2-1
Lecce
La Mantia (51'), Matos (68')
Haas (39'), Parisi (63'), Olivieri (84')
Rodriguez (24')
Meccariello (10'), Pisacane (42')
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Lecce
2-2
Empoli
Mancosu (79'), Rodriguez (90')
Nikolov (5'), Tachtsidis (46'), Mancosu (90+3')
Haas (33'), La Mantia (47')
Parisi (41'), Haas (66'), Matos (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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