Serie A | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
We said: Empoli 1-0 Lecce
Neither side is in top goalscoring form, but Empoli's decent-to-good record at the Castellani — they had gone five unbeaten until recent defeats by Napoli and Udinese — and Lecce's ongoing four-game run without scoring means the Azzurri should edge this one by the odd goal.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.26% . A win for Lecce had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.23%) . The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match.
Result Empoli Draw Lecce 40.26% ( -1.66) 26.88% ( 0.16) 32.86% ( 1.51)
Both teams to score 50.83% ( 0.01)
45.73% ( -0.21) 54.27% ( 0.21)
24.34% ( -0.18) 75.66% ( 0.18)
73.55% ( -0.98) 26.45% ( 0.98)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.38% ( -1.32) 61.62% ( 1.32)
69.1% ( 0.93) 30.9% ( -0.93)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.81% ( 1.07) 67.19% ( -1.07)
Empoli 40.25%
Lecce 32.86%
Draw 26.87%
Empoli Draw Lecce 1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.25% 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.87% 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.86%
How you voted: Empoli vs Lecce
106
rhs 2.0
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
1
Lens vs. Marseille - prediction, team news, lineups
2
St Etienne vs. Montpellier - prediction, team news, lineups
3
Parma vs. Atalanta - prediction, team news, lineups
4
Good news over Van Dijk, Alisson? Liverpool injury list vs. Southampton
5
Sporting Lisbon vs. Amarante - prediction, team news, lineups
6
Reims vs. Lyon - prediction, team news, lineups
7
Amorim's first signing? Man United 'lead the race for in-demand wonderkid'
8
Amorim backs Man United's bid to sign former midfielder
9
When will Alaba return to action? Potential return date revealed
10
NY City vs. NY Red Bulls - prediction, team news, lineups
Latest Sports Headlines
Preview: Mansfield vs. Bristol Rovers - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Parma vs. Atalanta - prediction, team news, lineups
Good news over Van Dijk, Alisson? Liverpool injury list vs. Southampton
Preview: Hellas Verona vs. Inter Milan - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Reims vs. Lyon - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: St Etienne vs. Montpellier - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Rugby Union Stories
Preview: France vs. Argentina - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Wales vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Scotland vs. Portugal - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: England vs. South Africa - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: France vs. New Zealand - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Basketball Stories
Preview: Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Golden State Warriors vs. Atlanta Hawks - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - prediction, team news, form guide