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Serie A
Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Spezia Calcio logo

Empoli
2 - 2
Spezia

Cambiaghi (71'), Vignato (90+4')
Vicario (24')
Parisi (21')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Verde (25' pen., 31')
Nikolaou (25'), Verde (33'), Esposito (39'), Ekdal (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, February 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, February 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 2-1 Spezia

 Empoli and Spezia have faced the most shots per game on average in Serie A this season (both over 16), so it could be an open affair at the Castellani. The hosts, though, are in far better form, and home advantage makes them likely winners against absence-hit opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawSpezia
45.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 26.31% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.94% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)75.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.51% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)57.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.02%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 45.76%
    Spezia 27.91%
    Draw 26.31%
EmpoliDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.76%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.91%

How you voted: Empoli vs Spezia

Empoli
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Spezia
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
N'Zola (36')
Gyasi (4'), Reca (60')

Henderson (14')
Apr 9, 2022 2pm
Empoli
0-0
Spezia

Di Francesco (11'), Zurkowski (20')

Gyasi (27'), Amian (29')
Dec 19, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Marchizza (50' og.)
Maggiore (21'), Amian (88'), Kovalenko (90')
Nikolaou (71' og.)
Tonelli (38'), Bandinelli (60')
Jun 19, 2020 4.30pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
Ragusa (72')
Bartolomei (90+1')

Balkovec (43')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Empoli
1-1
Spezia
Frattesi (71')
Dezi (50'), Laribi (89')
Bidaoui (56')
Bartolomei (23'), Ferrer (47'), Capradossi (75'), Terzi (76'), Ricci (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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