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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Spezia Calcio logo

Torino
0 - 1
Spezia


Djidji (27'), Ricci (75'), Karamoh (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
N'Zola (28' pen.)
Caldara (51'), Bourabia (61'), Nikolaou (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Torino
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Spezia

Tough to beat and boosted by their Coppa Italia heroics, Torino are set to claim back-to-back wins in the space of a few days by seeing off a low-scoring Spezia side on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawSpezia
52.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)53.94% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)75.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)53.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)39.01% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)75.73% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Torino 52.16%
    Spezia 22.55%
    Draw 25.28%
TorinoDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 22.55%

How you voted: Torino vs Spezia

Torino
77.8%
Draw
8.3%
Spezia
13.9%
36
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
Torino
2-1
Spezia
Lukic (4' pen., 69')
Bremer (62')
Manaj (90+7' pen.)
Erlic (3'), Nikolaou (24')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Torino
Sala (58')
Amian (65'), Nikolaou (76'), Kovalenko (89')

Rincon (38'), Linetty (52'), Sanabria (76')
May 15, 2021 2pm
Spezia
4-1
Torino
Saponara (19'), N'Zola (41' pen., 74'), Erlic (84')
Agudelo (28'), Pobega (33'), Farias (80')
Belotti (54' pen.)
Vojvoda (32'), Rincon (57'), Buongiorno (78'), Bremer (83'), Verdi (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 5pm
Torino
0-0
Spezia

Buongiorno (34'), Lyanco (61'), Linetty (89')

Pobega (17'), Verde (59'), Marchizza (76'), Gyasi (84')
Vignali (8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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