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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Spezia Calcio logo

Torino
0 - 1
Spezia


Djidji (27'), Ricci (75'), Karamoh (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
N'Zola (28' pen.)
Caldara (51'), Bourabia (61'), Nikolaou (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Torino
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Spezia

Tough to beat and boosted by their Coppa Italia heroics, Torino are set to claim back-to-back wins in the space of a few days by seeing off a low-scoring Spezia side on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawSpezia
52.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)53.94% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)75.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)53.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)39.01% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)75.73% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Torino 52.16%
    Spezia 22.55%
    Draw 25.28%
TorinoDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 22.55%

How you voted: Torino vs Spezia

Torino
77.8%
Draw
8.3%
Spezia
13.9%
36
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
Torino
2-1
Spezia
Lukic (4' pen., 69')
Bremer (62')
Manaj (90+7' pen.)
Erlic (3'), Nikolaou (24')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Torino
Sala (58')
Amian (65'), Nikolaou (76'), Kovalenko (89')

Rincon (38'), Linetty (52'), Sanabria (76')
May 15, 2021 2pm
Spezia
4-1
Torino
Saponara (19'), N'Zola (41' pen., 74'), Erlic (84')
Agudelo (28'), Pobega (33'), Farias (80')
Belotti (54' pen.)
Vojvoda (32'), Rincon (57'), Buongiorno (78'), Bremer (83'), Verdi (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 5pm
Torino
0-0
Spezia

Buongiorno (34'), Lyanco (61'), Linetty (89')

Pobega (17'), Verde (59'), Marchizza (76'), Gyasi (84')
Vignali (8')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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